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Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

Final/OTTV NHLN, MSG+·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 3-2 in overtime, Patrice Bergeron scoring at 1:33. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 1:33 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.5, NYI 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 33, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 G), 2. Tuukka Rask (35 saves, .946), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Rask35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS0511111413333
NYINYI11401111200237

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:36

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:33

3rd period

  1. BOS
    D. Heinen (11), C. Coyle (15)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +28 pts
    2-1
    5:48
  2. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    9:33

Overtime

  1. BOS
    T. Krug (26), T. Rask (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:33

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:31BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 14:07NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

OT

  • 0:40NYIBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBOS goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, OT 1:33 — BOS 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.12M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.07T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.07M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.07T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.06L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · Goal · xG 0.04T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNYI
2.53 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS48%52%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNYI
33
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
19
20
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011010.07542—28:43
47T. KrugD011020.06010—26:22
25B. CarloD000020.04200—26:03
88D. PastrnakR000050.39100—21:14
63B. MarchandL000030.22010—20:49
33Z. CharaD000-110.01230—19:47
37P. BergeronC101040.531105718:33
27J. MooreD101+120.02100—18:00
46D. KrejciC000020.351003816:49
74J. DeBruskL101030.28020—16:24
13C. CoyleC011+110.032006713:55
20J. NordstromC000-120.18220013:35
43D. HeinenL011+110.02100—13:02
52S. KuralyC000-120.172102212:46
14C. WagnerR000-120.09510—12:40
18B. RitchieR000+100.0040010011:48
10A. BjorkL011000.00010—11:35
48M. GrzelcykD000000.00010—01:27
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)37352.9462.62+0.6261:33

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).