Boston Bruins at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 3-2 in overtime, Patrice Bergeron scoring at 1:33. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 1:33 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.5, NYI 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 33, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 G), 2. Tuukka Rask (35 saves, .946), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Bergeron1 G

- ★★T. Rask35 saves, .946

- ★★★M. Barzal1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-14:36
2nd period
1-18:33
3rd period
2-15:48
2-29:33
Overtime
3-21:33
Penalties
1st
- 12:31
Charlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
2nd
- 14:07
Scott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
OT
- 0:40
Brock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, OT 1:33 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 2.02 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.5
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.60
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 31
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 20
- Giveaways
- 17
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
BOS leads 2-1
3@
2SOFinal
3@
2OTthis game
4@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
