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Canadiens at Red Wings
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV FS-D, TSN2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Zadina's goal at 16:08 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 26, DET 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Filip Zadina (1 G), 2. Frans Nielsen (2 G), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    F. Zadina1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    F. Nielsen2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL16110110326
DETDET01211137430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    A. Lehkonen(10)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    12:48

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(8)PPG
    M. Domi (21), I. Kovalchuk (8)
    backhandxG 0.57win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:31
  2. DET
    F. Nielsen(2)
    G. Smith (1), M. Bowey (11)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    12:22

3rd period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(11)
    T. Bertuzzi (17), D. Larkin (18)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    0:51
  2. MTL
    V. Mete(4)
    I. Kovalchuk (9), N. Suzuki (18)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:13
  3. DET
    F. Nielsen(3)
    M. Green (6), D. Helm (5)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +34 pts
    3-3
    11:19
  4. DET
    F. Zadina(5)
    A. Erne (1), V. Filppula (12)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +39 pts
    3-4
    16:08

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:29MTLDale Weise · Interferencedrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 12:13MTLNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Mike Green2 min
  • 14:29DETMadison Bowey · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
  • 19:46MTLTomas Tatar · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2nd

  • 5:12DETAdam Erne · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 6:04DETPatrik Nemeth · Boardingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 10:16MTLserved by N. Cousins · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 2:23DETJustin Abdelkader · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Charlie Lindgren2 min
  • 6:44DETPatrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMTL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Zadina, 3rd 16:08 — DET 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Nielsen · Goal · xG 0.41F. Nielsen · Goal · xG 0.32M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.16F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.15G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.14L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.12F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.11F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.08M. Green · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.08G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Green · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06M. Green · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · Missed · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lashoff · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01
DET4 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDET
3.33 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL55%45%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDET
26
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000-130.23110—28:24
26J. PetryD000-110.06620—22:04
17I. KovalchukL022-110.1821010021:22
13M. DomiC011-130.250002020:09
8B. ChiarotD000-120.09010—19:55
24P. DanaultC000+110.162003819:36
62A. LehkonenL101010.26210—19:27
14N. SuzukiC112-120.741003318:00
90T. TatarL000040.7500210017:17
28M. ScandellaD000-100.00110—16:55
15J. KotkaniemiC000-110.170105514:37
53V. MeteD101040.22200—13:10
21N. CousinsC000-200.11102012:17
44N. ThompsonC000-100.001005612:13
25R. PoehlingC000-110.04110011:05
77B. KulakD000020.03100—11:03
22D. WeiseR000000.02102—08:39
42L. VejdemoC000000.00100007:48
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Lindgren(L)30264.8673.03-0.9757:59

Season series

DET leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).