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Blackhawks at Canucks
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCH+·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Chicago Blackhawks 7-5. The Canucks came back from two goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Gaudette's goal at 15:49 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 33, VAN 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 2.8 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 2 A), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 3 A), 3. Bo Horvat (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI11231318533
VANVAN17318312737

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:04
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:00

2nd period

  1. VAN
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:48
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:15
  3. CHI
    P. Kane(23)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    6:25
  4. CHI
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    8:17
  5. VAN
    Q. Hughes(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    10:20
  6. VAN
    B. Boeser (26), J. Miller (24)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    4-4
    11:45

3rd period

  1. VAN
    A. Edler (16), T. Pearson (17)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +29 pts
    4-5
    8:10
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +35 pts
    5-5
    13:44
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +39 pts
    5-6
    15:49
  4. VAN
    B. Horvat(12)EN
    wristxG 0.51win prob +6 pts
    5-7
    19:51

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:02CHIserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:08VANBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min
  • 19:05VANTyler Myers · Elbowingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 6:00VANAdam Gaudette · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 9:11CHIZack Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:37CHIErik Gustafsson · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 14:37VANTroy Stecher · Holdingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

3rd

  • 17:19VANTyler Motte · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCHI goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Gaudette, 3rd 15:49 — VAN 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.63B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.51B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.34B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.22B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.12A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.12L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.03O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN7 G · 4.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsVAN
2.85 G
All situations
6 G4.4
2.04 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI43%57%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsVAN
33
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011010.03000—25:18
88P. KaneR202060.36010—23:02
5C. MurphyD101+240.23310—21:50
27A. BoqvistD011-210.12020—20:35
17D. StromeC000-320.180003819:28
19J. ToewsC112010.012207019:25
12A. DeBrincatR000-220.53100—19:01
56E. GustafssonD011-110.23012—18:36
77K. DachC000010.19010017:24
22R. CarpenterC000-440.250202117:08
6O. MaattaD011-110.02000—16:23
39D. GilbertD000-210.02300—12:38
8D. KubalikL033+120.10000—12:13
95D. SikuraR000000.00010—12:11
15Z. SmithC011000.00402012:08
64D. KampfC101030.300106411:51
36M. HighmoreC000+100.00000008:36
47J. QuennevilleC000030.23100008:13
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(L)36306.8333.21-2.7958:51

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).