Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 10:23 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.4, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 31, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Ennis (1 G, 1 A), 3. Keith Yandle (2 A).
Three stars
- ★E. Dadonov2 G, 1 A

- ★★T. Ennis1 G, 1 A

- ★★★K. Yandle2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-01:41
1-110:59
1-215:39
2nd period
2-28:54
3-210:23
4-219:08
5-219:55
3rd period
5-317:15
6-318:14
Penalties
1st
- 1:10
Mark Borowiecki · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
- 19:43
Frank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
2nd
- 4:33
Brady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
- 8:23
Mark Borowiecki · High stickingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
- 14:42
Evgenii Dadonov · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
3rd
- 6:32
Riley Stillman · Holdingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Noel Acciari, 2nd 10:23 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.45 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.3
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.42 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.31
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 21
- Hits
- 35
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 12
- Giveaways
- 15
- 7
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 2-0
1@
6Final
6@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
