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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, SN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-5. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 13:30 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were MTL 43, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Carey Price stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 3.4 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G, 2 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Petry (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Petry1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL110215218543
FLAFLA29312113634

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:34
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:33
  3. MTL
    T. Tatar(16)PPG
    J. Petry (18), N. Suzuki (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    13:31

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    1:20
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:12
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    3:41
  4. FLA
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    13:30
  5. FLA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    14:05

3rd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +7 pts
    3-6
    0:45
  2. MTL
    J. Weal (3), M. Domi (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    4:11
  3. MTL
    J. Petry (19), T. Tatar (19)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    5-6
    18:08

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:18MTLNate Thompson · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 11:58FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 14:47MTLBrendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Riley Stillman2 min
  • 18:16MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

2nd

  • 0:37FLAserved by V. Trocheck · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 1:01MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 6:12FLAFrank Vatrano · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 7:10MTLPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min

3rd

  • 2:23FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 2nd 13:30 — FLA 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.39N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.21J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.21E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
3.35 G
All situations
6 G2.6
2.13 G
Even strength
6 G2.3
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL59%41%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
43
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD101-320.06220—24:37
8B. ChiarotD000-450.18240—23:31
24P. DanaultC000-110.252125523:23
14N. SuzukiC033+210.091101419:48
11B. GallagherR000-281.09014—19:14
90T. TatarL112-140.20300—18:52
26J. PetryD123+140.13100—18:27
62A. LehkonenL000-130.49500—17:34
13M. DomiC112+250.320002217:07
17B. KulakD011030.12000—16:06
20C. FleuryD000010.06210—15:18
53V. MeteD000000.02040—15:03
21N. CousinsC000-210.02020014:17
15J. KotkaniemiC101-220.1600210014:14
43J. WealC011-200.001104412:36
44N. ThompsonC000-130.0630210008:59
25R. PoehlingC000-100.03210007:44
45R. BarberR000-100.00000—03:18
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)34286.8242.60-3.4057:27

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).