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New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV MSG, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Jack Hughes scoring at 0:54. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 34, OTT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.5 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G), 3. Sami Vatanen (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    S. Vatanen3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD1142901011434
OTTOTT062101700323

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:58

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:39
  2. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:28
  3. NJD
    N. Gusev(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    15:12
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:00

3rd period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.03win prob +39 pts
    3-3
    15:02

Overtime

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.25win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:54

Penalties

NJD 23 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 6:13OTTAndreas Englund · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 6:13OTTAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 6:13NJDJohn Hayden · Instigatordrawn by Andreas Englund2 min
  • 6:13NJDJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min
  • 6:13NJDJohn Hayden · Misconductdrawn by Andreas Englund10 min
  • 7:09OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 11:25NJDMirco Mueller · Interferencedrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 14:35OTTScott Sabourin · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 16:37NJDserved by J. Hughes · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:08NJDConnor Carrick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:57OTTColin White · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:14OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, OT 0:54 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.18A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.15A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.13V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09C. White · Missed · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.07A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06J. Beaudin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.04A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03C. White · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
3.74 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD69%31%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
23
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/4
Power play
0/3
23
Penalty minutes
15
29
Hits
32
10
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD011020.27320—24:59
45S. VatanenD033+110.09100—24:29
76P. SubbanD000-230.05010—19:46
6A. GreeneD000-200.02020—19:36
13N. HischierC101-150.780104219:01
25M. MuellerD000010.01212—18:27
20B. ColemanL000020.27720—18:20
21K. PalmieriC011-130.411003317:47
86J. HughesC112+120.321006717:17
19T. ZajacC000010.391005716:56
17W. SimmondsR011040.20500—16:36
97N. GusevL101030.33100—15:25
44M. WoodL101-120.32300—14:57
37P. ZachaC000-210.120005613:59
63J. BrattL000020.12000—13:27
5C. CarrickD000000.00302—10:31
90J. BoqvistC000010.01000008:43
15J. HaydenC000010.011117006:27
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)23203.8702.49-0.5160:54

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).