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Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Ducks scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 11:29 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 55% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 27, NJD 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.0 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1907011127
NJDNJD082814320

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    O. Kase (10), C. Fowler (11)
    snapxG 0.84win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:33

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:28
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    11:29

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:00

Penalties

ANA 13 PIM·NJD 9 PIM

2nd

  • 4:39ANAHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 9:42ANAMichael Del Zotto · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 18:29NJDBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 18:57ANACam Fowler · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 2:24ANAMaxime Comtois · Fightingdrawn by Damon Severson5 min
  • 2:24NJDDamon Severson · Fightingdrawn by Maxime Comtois5 min
  • 15:57NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 18:42ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalANA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 2nd 11:29 — NJD 55% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.23N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.16P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.15W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.13N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · Goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.04M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNJD
3.11 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA56%44%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
20
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000010.04104—26:23
42J. MansonD000010.08500—24:06
67R. RakellR000-110.19000—20:19
15R. GetzlafC000+140.312006019:42
6E. GudbransonD000000.00220—19:37
48I. LundestromC000-110.020105618:37
4C. FowlerD011000.00012—18:17
33J. SilfverbergR000-240.130005017:20
25O. KaseR011+110.16010—16:45
5K. HolzerD000-110.05030—15:36
24C. RowneyC000-110.21100015:10
49M. JonesL000040.28010—14:29
44M. Del ZottoD000-220.13202—14:01
14A. HenriqueC101+131.073006713:56
34S. SteelC000000.010007011:56
20N. DeslauriersL000010.04310—10:59
39S. CarrickC000010.020007110:58
53M. ComtoisL000010.39015—09:06
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)20173.8502.02-0.9856:26

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).