Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 1:19 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 39, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (2 A), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Erne (2 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-15:11
1-111:02
2-112:06
2-217:17
2nd period
2-31:58
3-36:54
3rd period
4-31:19
5-319:53
Penalties
1st
- 14:58
Marko Dano · Interferencedrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min
2nd
- 1:03
Nick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Mike Green2 min
- 5:29
Anthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by David Savard2 min
- 9:20
Patrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by David Savard2 min
- 18:52
Boone Jenner · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 3rd 1:19 — 48% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.64 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.9
- 2.63 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.3
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 1.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 12
- Hits
- 18
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 9
- Giveaways
- 17
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
