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Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV PRIME, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Kase's goal at 4:14 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 41, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. John Gibson stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.0 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (40 saves, .976), 2. David Kase (1 G), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    PHI
    D. Kase1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA016112013141
PHIPHI01221227431

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    0:55
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:14
  3. ANA
    R. Rakell(10)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    16:33

3rd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:11
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.43
    1-4
    19:52

Penalties

ANA 11 PIM·PHI 17 PIM

1st

  • 6:54PHIChris Stewart · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 11:48ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Chris Stewart5 min
  • 11:48PHIChris Stewart · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 18:48ANAHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 5:40ANAHampus Lindholm · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 15:56PHIClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 18:02PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Kneeingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 1:30PHIMatt Niskanen · Boardingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 1:30PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 1:30ANAErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 7:40PHIKevin Hayes · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalANA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: David Kase, 2nd 4:14 — PHI 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.43T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.20C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.15J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kase · Goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Andreoff · On goal · xG 0.08I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.07I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPHI
3.51 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA74%26%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPHI
41
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/5
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
17
16
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
67R. RakellR101-140.32310—23:42
47H. LindholmD011-140.05224—22:50
15R. GetzlafC000-230.451106120:42
42J. MansonD000030.02110—20:31
14A. HenriqueC000040.461006320:27
33J. SilfverbergR011-130.290005020:19
4C. FowlerD000-210.01010—19:58
44M. Del ZottoD000-240.32120—18:28
6E. GudbransonD000-220.12102—16:24
25O. KaseR000-260.65000—15:54
34S. SteelC000-210.070004015:16
53M. ComtoisL000-220.182005015:14
29D. ShoreC000020.120203313:38
38D. GrantC000-110.303002212:51
32J. LarssonD000-200.00100—12:47
61T. TerryR000-100.05000—11:40
24C. RowneyC000000.0000010011:07
20N. DeslauriersL000010.02015—06:19
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)30273.9001.96-1.0457:53

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).