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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The Blues came back from three goals down. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 17:34 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 22, STL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 34 of 38 (.895); Jordan Binnington stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Bozak (2 G), 2. Justin Faulk (1 G), 3. Robert Thomas (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    T. Bozak2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0219211322
STLSTL013014411438

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:19

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:30
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    4:16
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    4:40
  4. STL
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    13:08
  5. STL
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    13:20
  6. STL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +41 pts
    3-4
    17:34

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:23CHIBrent Seabrook · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:51CHIRyan Carpenter · Hookingdrawn by Jacob de la Rose2 min
  • 2:32STLBrayden Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 3:49STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:10STLVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 14:03CHIPatrick Kane · Trippingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 18:05STLJustin Faulk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 3rd 17:34 — STL 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.55O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.26I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.17D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.16R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.15M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.14T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.13A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.12V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.11J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09J. de la Rose · Goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 4.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
2.23 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.23 G
Even strength
4 G3.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI27%73%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
22
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
7
7
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000+120.01360—22:30
56E. GustafssonD011+130.21100—22:01
88P. KaneR101+130.39002—20:52
12A. DeBrincatR011030.17000—19:26
7B. SeabrookD000-200.00102—19:26
6O. MaattaD000000.00020—19:25
39D. GilbertD000-200.02510—19:03
19J. ToewsC022030.260008518:24
17D. StromeC011+110.650104218:13
20B. SaadL202030.27010—15:34
27A. BoqvistD000000.00020—14:56
22R. CarpenterC000-100.030023013:56
77K. DachC000-100.020003813:03
64D. KampfC000-100.0010010012:59
8D. KubalikL000030.09110—12:56
15Z. SmithC000-100.020105012:52
92A. NylanderL000000.05000—10:46
36M. HighmoreC000-110.01000009:30
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)38344.8953.66-0.3458:08

Season series

STL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).