Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Flyers scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 1.0; shots on goal were PHI 18, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Alex Stalock stopped 17 of 18 (.944). Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (2 G), 2. Ryan Suter (1 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-01:34
1-16:16
1-27:51
2nd period
1-39:47
3rd period
1-417:46
Penalties
1st
- 18:18
Tyler Pitlick · High stickingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
2nd
- 4:57
Shayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
- 14:55
Matt Niskanen · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
- 17:19
Brennan Menell · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
- 19:06
Marcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
- 19:06
Joel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
3rd
- 3:50
Kevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
- 4:42
James van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
- 9:14
Chris Stewart · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
- 15:47
Kevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Eric Staal, 2nd 9:47 — 71% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.01 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 0.81 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.00 – 2.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 10
- Hits
- 6
- 4
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 2
- Giveaways
- 4
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
