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Devils at Avalanche
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 7:56 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.4, COL 3.6; shots on goal were NJD 38, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Francouz (37 saves, .974), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Francouz37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01309116138
COLCOL16119112337

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(6)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (30), S. Girard (10)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:37

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(6)
    M. Barberio (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:56

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Mueller(1)
    P. Zacha (11), W. Simmonds (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +8 pts
    1-2
    15:48
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(20)EN
    M. Rantanen (13), M. Nieto (10)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:28

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:53NJDJesper Boqvist · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:31NJDMichael McLeod · Interferencedrawn by Mark Barberio2 min
  • 17:28COLNazem Kadri · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min

2nd

  • 3:03COLSamuel Girard · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 8:11NJDP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 17:58NJDDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:23COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 6:15NJDBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 8:56COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNJD goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, 2nd 7:56 — COL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.91M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.16T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.15M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCOL
3.41 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD62%38%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCOL
38
Shots on goal
37
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
13
19
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
9
13
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD000-220.12030—22:00
28D. SeversonD000+110.10232—21:00
13N. HischierC000-120.410003320:19
8W. ButcherD000-100.00160—19:07
19T. ZajacC000040.560005018:51
76P. SubbanD000030.12202—17:56
25M. MuellerD101+110.01110—17:25
6A. GreeneD000010.02120—17:16
21K. PalmieriC000-130.18010016:20
17W. SimmondsR011+120.11410—16:18
63J. BrattL000-130.24000—15:49
37P. ZachaC011010.011105015:33
20B. ColemanL000020.38402—15:32
86J. HughesC000-140.521002913:53
97N. GusevL000-150.46000—13:12
90J. BoqvistC000020.10102012:19
44M. WoodL000-120.05210—10:26
41M. McLeodC000000.002025007:45
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)17152.8821.34-0.6630:48
29M. Blackwood191901.0001.34+1.3429:05

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).