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Blackhawks at Golden Knights
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 7:27 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 54% to 71%. Expected goals were close — CHI 3.0, VGK 3.1; shots on goal were CHI 29, VGK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.9 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (28 saves, .966), 2. Reilly Smith (1 G, 1 A), 3. Deryk Engelland (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    D. Engelland1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0120819129
VGKVGK01231629537

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    7:27
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:24
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    19:16

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    3:17
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.06
    0-5
    12:59
  3. CHI
    snapxG 0.08
    1-5
    19:33

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:46VGKMark Stone · Interferencedrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min

2nd

  • 5:30CHIDennis Gilbert · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 18:28VGKAlex Tuch · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

3rd

  • 5:48CHIBrandon Saad · Cross checkingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 6:07VGKValentin Zykov · Interferencedrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 18:10VGKChandler Stephenson · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCHI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 2nd 7:27 — VGK 54% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.21M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.18C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.16R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.13J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.12R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.10D. Engelland · Goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.07V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.03T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsVGK
3.01 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI49%51%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
31
11
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD000-220.06110—25:44
5C. MurphyD000-120.02300—23:05
7B. SeabrookD000-100.00040—20:21
39D. GilbertD000-110.02512—19:48
19J. ToewsC000-220.420004819:15
88P. KaneR000-120.29000—19:15
17D. StromeC000-120.250005218:32
20B. SaadL000-140.42112—17:52
12A. DeBrincatR000-120.18200—17:43
27A. BoqvistD011-220.22000—17:42
8D. KubalikL101-110.12000—15:24
92A. NylanderL011-120.04000—13:32
77K. DachC000-120.080106713:00
15Z. SmithC000-100.02400012:18
22R. CarpenterC000-130.481108012:04
64D. KampfC000-110.411202511:56
95D. SikuraR000-100.00000—11:02
44C. de HaanD000010.01100—07:35
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)37325.8653.07-1.9359:50

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).