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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FS-TN, NBCSCA·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bonino's goal at 4:24 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 25, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (24 saves, .960), 2. Nick Bonino (1 G), 3. Ryan Johansen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0601019125
NSHNSH01102319332

Scoring

4 goals

3rd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(12)
    M. Granlund (8), C. Smith (7)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +26 pts
    0-1
    4:24
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(5)PPG
    F. Forsberg (9), C. Jarnkrok (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-2
    12:59
  3. SJS
    T. Meier(10)
    T. Hertl (14), K. Labanc (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    1-2
    18:02
  4. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(11)EN
    F. Forsberg (10), R. Josi (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:18

Penalties

SJS 39 PIM·NSH 33 PIM

1st

  • 0:47SJSBarclay Goodrow · Slashingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 8:05SJSMario Ferraro · High sticking double minordrawn by Craig Smith4 min
  • 12:51NSHFilip Forsberg · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min
  • 12:51SJSMarcus Sorensen · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:36NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

2nd

  • 9:31NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 17:15NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Slashingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 17:15SJSBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 18:52NSHDante Fabbro · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 18:52SJSTimo Meier · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 19:34NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 19:58SJSEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min
  • 19:58NSHDan Hamhuis · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 19:58SJSEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min
  • 19:58SJSEvander Kane · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 19:58NSHAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Evander Kane5 min
  • 19:58SJSEvander Kane · Misconductdrawn by Austin Watson10 min
  • 19:58NSHAustin Watson · Misconductdrawn by Evander Kane10 min

3rd

  • 2:03NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 2:03SJSBarclay Goodrow · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 8:29SJSErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Daniel Carr2 min
  • 9:05NSHFilip Forsberg · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Barclay Goodrow0 min
  • 12:19SJSBrent Burns · Elbowingdrawn by Daniel Carr2 min
  • 12:59SJSserved by N. Gregor · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:34NSHFilip Forsberg · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bonino, 3rd 4:24 — NSH 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.22R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.13N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.12R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.10R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.05K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
2.11 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS37%63%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
25
Shots on goal
32
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/4
Power play
1/7
39
Penalty minutes
33
21
Hits
7
14
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000040.14102—26:07
88B. BurnsD000-130.23122—24:47
44M. VlasicD000000.05140—19:22
4B. DillonD000-100.00220—19:03
48T. HertlC011-130.211005018:43
62K. LabancR011020.10100—17:41
39L. CoutureC000010.02330017:25
28T. MeierR101040.51002—15:36
38M. FerraroD000000.02304—14:45
19J. ThorntonC000000.002202014:30
72T. HeedD000020.03100—14:30
20M. SorensenL000000.00202—13:18
9E. KaneL000-120.0900194013:04
23B. GoodrowC000010.331064412:45
12P. MarleauC000020.27000012:13
68M. KarlssonC000-100.00010011:20
7D. GambrellC000010.081004010:18
73N. GregorL000000.00100—06:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)31292.9352.77+0.7758:48

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).