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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Tierney's goal at 1:21 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 40, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.5 goals below expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Duclair (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Nilsson (38 saves, .950), 3. Chris Tierney (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Duclair2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Tierney1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS18016116240
OTTOTT2141925528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:35
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:44
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    17:48

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:21

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(16)EN
    wristxG 0.95win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:02
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    17:45
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.80
    2-5
    19:59

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

2nd

  • 2:33BOSCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Logan Brown2 min
  • 5:21OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 13:08OTTDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 17:53OTTDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 9:35BOSBrandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 9:58OTTThomas Chabot · High stickingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 14:46BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 15:46OTTColin White · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Tierney, 2nd 1:21 — OTT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.95A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.80N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.24T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.18A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.15C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.15A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.13T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.13A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09C. White · On goal · xG 0.08A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.08L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 4.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
3.12 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS61%39%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
40
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
20
6
Blocked shots
29
9
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
63B. MarchandL022-120.33000—24:34
88D. PastrnakR022-150.3610210022:05
73C. McAvoyD000020.06310—21:58
37P. BergeronC101-160.730106421:43
46D. KrejciC000-340.382004021:30
74J. DeBruskL101-440.32000—21:29
47T. KrugD000-310.06000—20:49
48M. GrzelcykD000-250.10200—20:13
33Z. CharaD000+110.02110—18:18
27J. MooreD000-130.02210—15:11
25B. CarloD000-110.03112—14:47
10A. BjorkL000010.05200—13:43
13C. CoyleC000-100.001122112:06
43D. HeinenL000030.42100—11:50
52S. KuralyC000-110.100003309:33
20J. NordstromC000-110.12100009:08
14C. WagnerR000-100.00100—09:03
18B. RitchieR000-200.00200—08:06
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)26233.8852.47-0.5357:54

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).