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Sabres at Canucks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
5
Vancouver Canucks
▸6
Final/OTTV MSG-B, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-5 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 3:21. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 3:21 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.6, VAN 2.6; shots on goal were BUF 28, VAN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.4 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Antoine Roussel (2 G), 2. Jack Eichel (2 A), 3. Josh Leivo (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    A. Roussel2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Leivo2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF053152800528
VANVAN192102912630

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    J. Leivo(5)
    J. Benn (6), T. Stecher (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:57

2nd period

  1. VAN
    A. Roussel(2)
    T. Myers (5), J. Virtanen (7)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:07
  2. BUF
    K. Okposo(2)
    J. Larsson (6), J. Skinner (7)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    5:24
  3. BUF
    S. Reinhart(11)
    R. Ristolainen (11), V. Olofsson (14)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:28
  4. VAN
    J. Leivo(6)
    E. Pettersson (21), B. Boeser (16)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:11
  5. BUF
    V. Olofsson(12)PPG
    S. Reinhart (12), J. Eichel (22)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    19:16

3rd period

  1. VAN
    T. Myers(1)SHG
    J. Miller (18), T. Pearson (11)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +29 pts
    3-4
    4:51
  2. VAN
    A. Roussel(3)
    J. Virtanen (8), T. Stecher (5)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    10:40
  3. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(4)
    J. Larsson (7)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    4-5
    12:05
  4. BUF
    M. Johansson(5)
    J. Eichel (23), R. Ristolainen (12)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +44 pts
    5-5
    19:01

Overtime

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(13)PPG
    Q. Hughes (22), B. Boeser (17)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    5-6
    3:21

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:01BUFKyle Okposo · Trippingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min

2nd

  • 7:12VANJake Virtanen · Slashingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 14:51VANJay Beagle · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 18:50VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

3rd

  • 3:35VANAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

OT

  • 2:09BUFHenri Jokiharju · Interferencedrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalBUF goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 3:21 — VAN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.25T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.24J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.07A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsVAN
2.65 G
All situations
6 G2.6
2.14 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.01 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.50 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF49%51%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
30
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
29
7
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD022+200.01110—25:43
23S. ReinhartC112010.53000024:56
9J. EichelC022010.031004124:35
4Z. BogosianD000-120.07120—22:27
68V. OlofssonL112+150.68000—22:01
19J. McCabeD000-110.01020—20:24
53J. SkinnerL011050.5510010019:46
62B. MontourD000-130.08100—19:36
90M. JohanssonL101010.060003317:56
10H. JokiharjuD000-120.04102—17:37
22J. LarssonL022+200.007005014:52
6M. ScandellaD000-110.01100—12:56
28Z. GirgensonsC101+110.02200012:45
74R. AsplundC000010.120003311:44
21K. OkposoR101030.360123310:51
13J. VeseyL000000.00100—10:31
43C. ShearyL000-210.01010—10:25
37C. MittelstadtC000-200.000001409:51
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(O)30246.8002.62-3.3862:00

Season series

VAN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).