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St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBCSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the St. Louis Blues 3-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 19:20 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 28, PIT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tristan Jarry (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Stefan Noesen (1 G), 3. Teddy Blueger (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    T. Jarry28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Noesen1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Blueger1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01001404028
PITPIT11511117333

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:39

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.18win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    4:59

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:44PITJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 2:31PITJoseph Blandisi · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 7:47STLTyler Bozak · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min
  • 11:21STLCarl Gunnarsson · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:00PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Jay Bouwmeester2 min
  • 19:49PITChad Ruhwedel · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

3rd

  • 9:32STLZachary Sanford · Cross checkingdrawn by Joseph Blandisi2 min
  • 14:17STLserved by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:53STLVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSTL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 2nd 19:20 — PIT 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.21A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.18S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.15J. Blandisi · Missed · xG 0.13D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.13C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.12D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.10D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.08T. Blueger · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.07D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.07T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.05D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.02J. Riikola · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPIT
2.10 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL37%63%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
46
Hits
37
8
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-120.07310—23:34
90R. O'ReillyC000020.222005823:01
55C. ParaykoD000-110.00230—22:41
57D. PerronL000040.26200—20:43
19J. BouwmeesterD000-220.02600—20:42
10B. SchennC000-120.312002520:38
17J. SchwartzL000-120.22310—20:13
72J. FaulkD000-120.02210—17:46
49I. BarbashevL000-200.004104017:27
29V. DunnD000020.02102—17:16
21T. BozakC000-110.053026415:19
18R. ThomasC000-130.33000014:40
4C. GunnarssonD000-100.02102—11:58
12Z. SanfordL000030.34212—11:27
61J. de la RoseL000-110.01800—10:43
36T. BrouwerR000000.00100—08:55
26N. WalkerL000-210.17200—08:08
28M. MacEachernL000000.00200—07:36
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)33303.9092.76-0.2458:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).