New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 13:17 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 25, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (30 saves, .968), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Varlamov30 saves, .968

- ★★J. Eberle2 G

- ★★★M. Barzal1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-08:46
2-013:17
2nd period
2-110:36
3-116:34
3rd period
4-113:24
Penalties
1st
- 3:12
Darren Helm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:08
Anthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
- 16:31
Johnny Boychuk · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
2nd
- 5:00
Anders Lee · High stickingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
- 7:43
Devon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 10:26
Nick Leddy · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
- 14:26
Frans Nielsen · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
- 14:58
Patrik Nemeth · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
3rd
- 2:37
Otto Koivula · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
- 16:43
Luke Glendening · Boardingdrawn by Johnny Boychuk2 min
- 18:46
Valtteri Filppula · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 1st 13:17 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.8
- 1.43 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.8
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 19
- Hits
- 14
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 14
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
