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Blues at Lightning
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV FS-MW, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Sanford's goal at 8:21 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.7, TBL 2.9; shots on goal were STL 33, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Oskar Sundqvist (2 G), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G), 3. Ivan Barbashev (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01221328433
TBLTBL010212113335

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(9)
    B. Point (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    3:53
  2. STL
    O. Sundqvist(7)SHG
    I. Barbashev (6), J. Bouwmeester (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    5:31
  3. STL
    O. Sundqvist(8)
    I. Barbashev (7), T. Bozak (7)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:40
  4. TBL
    A. Cirelli(6)
    R. McDonagh (8), N. Kucherov (14)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    11:39

3rd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(3)
    I. Barbashev (8), T. Bozak (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    3-2
    8:21
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(13)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (17), D. Perron (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    11:07
  3. TBL
    B. Point(8)PPG
    N. Kucherov (15), K. Shattenkirk (13)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    4-3
    14:23

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:24STLZachary Sanford · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 15:29STLAlex Pietrangelo · Slashingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

3rd

  • 0:20STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 9:02TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 9:18TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 13:12STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalSTL goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Zachary Sanford, 3rd 8:21 — STL 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · Goal · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.14T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.10C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.06R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02C. Conacher · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsTBL
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL48%52%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsTBL
33
Shots on goal
35
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
4
5
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. BouwmeesterD011+120.06010—26:01
55C. ParaykoD000+110.07520—24:55
27A. PietrangeloD000050.17012—21:25
90R. O'ReillyC011-110.140005020:49
10B. SchennC101-130.303006718:37
21T. BozakC022+230.251205718:36
17J. SchwartzL000060.50000—17:53
49I. BarbashevL033+300.004008617:04
72J. FaulkD000010.11020—16:34
57D. PerronL011-230.39122—16:03
4C. GunnarssonD000010.07210—15:34
12Z. SanfordL101-110.07112—15:26
18R. ThomasC000000.000023315:13
29V. DunnD000020.14100—13:41
61J. de la RoseL000010.082003809:47
36T. BrouwerR000010.19100—09:25
70O. SundqvistC202+220.17000008:37
28M. MacEachernL000000.00000—07:12
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)35323.9142.90-0.1059:57

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).