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Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-N+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2 in overtime, Tony DeAngelo scoring at 0:32. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tony DeAngelo's goal at 0:32 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 28, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Henrik Lundqvist stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (3 A), 2. Tony DeAngelo (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Donato (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    T. DeAngelo1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    R. Donato1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN0121211400228
NYRNYR1901011111331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:50

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:11

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +32 pts
    2-1
    10:00
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin (17), A. Fox (8)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    17:10

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:32

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:03NYRBoo Nieves · Slashingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 10:10MINKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Micheal Haley2 min
  • 10:45NYRChris Kreider · Slashingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

2nd

  • 4:46MINJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 11:24MINMathew Dumba · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

  • 16:52MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMIN goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Tony DeAngelo, OT 0:32 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.38B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.25C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.15J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.13T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNYR
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN40%60%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNYR
28
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000040.06112—24:50
20R. SuterD000000.00220—24:37
46J. SpurgeonD011000.08070—24:30
25J. BrodinD000000.00210—23:48
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.363203818:07
18J. GreenwayL000010.09102—17:17
9M. KoivuC000+100.041107117:05
19L. KuninC000020.220106016:58
11Z. PariseL101+140.3700010016:54
12E. StaalC000-100.000005016:32
16J. ZuckerL000-160.41110—16:16
22K. FialaL011+100.08002—15:01
36M. ZuccarelloR000-110.01120—14:48
77B. HuntD000010.05100—12:24
21C. SoucyD000000.00100—10:56
38R. HartmanR011+110.120023309:33
49V. RaskC000+100.000001708:12
6R. DonatoC101+150.23000007:30
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(O)31283.9032.76-0.2460:32

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).