New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 12:27 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 37, PIT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 2. Tristan Jarry (36 saves, .973), 3. Dominik Kahun (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Guentzel1 G

- ★★T. Jarry36 saves, .973

- ★★★D. Kahun1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-17:51
2nd period
1-10:31
1-212:27
3rd period
1-32:05
1-42:30
Penalties
1st
- 11:45
Miles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min
- 18:40
Chad Ruhwedel · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min
2nd
- 2:42
Miles Wood · Hookingdrawn by John Marino2 min
- 3:14
Damon Severson · Fightingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist5 min
- 3:14
Patric Hornqvist · Fightingdrawn by Damon Severson5 min
- 3:14
Patric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
- 6:54
Jared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Gusev2 min
3rd
- 10:16
Zach Trotman · High stickingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
- 14:03
Wayne Simmonds · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 12:27 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.6
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.3
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.59
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 32
- Hits
- 32
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 11
- Giveaways
- 4
- 1
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
