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New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 12:27 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 37, PIT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 2. Tristan Jarry (36 saves, .973), 3. Dominik Kahun (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry36 saves, .973
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    D. Kahun1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD06120011137
PITPIT11811429441

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:51

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    0:31
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin (10), B. Rust (5)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    12:27

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:05
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    2:30

Penalties

NJD 11 PIM·PIT 13 PIM

1st

  • 11:45NJDMiles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min
  • 18:40PITChad Ruhwedel · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min

2nd

  • 2:42NJDMiles Wood · Hookingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 3:14NJDDamon Severson · Fightingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist5 min
  • 3:14PITPatric Hornqvist · Fightingdrawn by Damon Severson5 min
  • 3:14PITPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 6:54PITJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Gusev2 min

3rd

  • 10:16PITZach Trotman · High stickingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 14:03NJDWayne Simmonds · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNJD goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 12:27 — PIT 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.24D. Kahun · Goal · xG 0.23E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.13T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.12T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.12A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.11D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.09J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Trotman · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.00J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.00D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPIT
2.11 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.20 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD40%60%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPIT
37
Shots on goal
41
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
32
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
4
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD000020.18220—21:24
8W. ButcherD000-130.06010—20:06
45S. VatanenD000-270.20000—19:51
6A. GreeneD000-120.13110—19:40
28D. SeversonD000-130.20105—19:28
86J. HughesC000040.400004319:00
13N. HischierC011000.004004217:17
9T. HallL101040.29000—16:28
20B. ColemanL000-200.00710—16:26
17W. SimmondsR000010.06402—15:59
21K. PalmieriC011040.202105015:58
19T. ZajacC000-200.004007215:51
25M. MuellerD000-300.01010—14:39
97N. GusevL000-240.11200—14:16
37P. ZachaC000-200.000105713:24
90J. BoqvistC000020.152005013:24
63J. BrattL000-200.00100—10:50
44M. WoodL000-210.07214—10:00
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)36324.8892.40-1.6042:30
70L. Domingue5501.0000.21+0.2117:30

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).