Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1. The Flyers scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Chlapik's goal at 17:09 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 27, OTT 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Anders Nilsson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (26 saves, .963), 2. Filip Chlapik (1 G), 3. Tyler Pitlick (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Nilsson26 saves, .963

- ★★F. Chlapik1 G

- ★★★T. Pitlick1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-02:46
2nd period
1-113:12
1-217:09
Penalties
1st
- 10:18
Vladislav Namestnikov · Boardingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
- 10:52
Jakub Voracek · Hookingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
- 18:39
Thomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
2nd
- 2:00
Kevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Colin White2 min
- 6:31
Filip Chlapik · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
- 11:38
Philippe Myers · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
3rd
- 15:43
Colin White · High sticking double minordrawn by Claude Giroux4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Filip Chlapik, 2nd 17:09 — 53% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 1.55
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 19
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 21
- Hits
- 32
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 5
- Giveaways
- 8
- 2
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 2-1
1@
2this game
3@
4Final
5@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
