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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV ALT, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-2. The Avalanche scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack Kassian's goal at 12:42 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 33, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Antoine Bibeau stopped 9 of 10 (.900); Mike Smith stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G, 3 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (5 A), 3. Zack Kassian (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl5 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Kassian1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11111408233
EDMEDM41021305628

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(6)
    N. Kadri (8)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    1-0
    1:20
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(4)
    C. McDavid (21), L. Draisaitl (22)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:16
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(12)PPG
    O. Klefbom (11), J. Neal (3)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    12:14
  4. EDM
    Z. Kassian(7)
    L. Draisaitl (23), C. McDavid (22)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    12:42
  5. EDM
    C. McDavid(13)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (24), O. Klefbom (12)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    15:51

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(14)PPG
    O. Klefbom (13), L. Draisaitl (25)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    8:32
  2. COL
    A. Burakovsky(7)
    E. Johnson (3)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    16:36
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(5)PPG
    C. McDavid (23), L. Draisaitl (26)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    18:15

Penalties

COL 17 PIM·EDM 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:28EDMZack Kassian · Fightingdrawn by Matt Calvert5 min
  • 0:28COLMatt Calvert · Fightingdrawn by Zack Kassian5 min
  • 3:56EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:47COLTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 15:30COLRyan Graves · High stickingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 19:24EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

2nd

  • 4:22COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 7:48COLNazem Kadri · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mike Smith2 min
  • 9:32EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 17:44COLserved by V. Kamenev · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:55EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min

3rd

  • 16:26COLRyan Graves · High stickingdrawn by Joakim Nygard2 min
  • 19:37EDMDarnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zack Kassian, 1st 12:42 — EDM 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.08J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.07J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03J. Nygard · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.00P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
2.72 G
All situations
6 G2.2
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.60 G
Power play
4 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL58%42%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/5
Power play
4/6
17
Penalty minutes
15
14
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000010.13000—22:02
6E. JohnsonD011020.05120—20:39
29N. MacKinnonC000-130.270203320:36
72J. DonskoiR000-110.12110—20:17
49S. GirardD000020.05000—19:45
91N. KadriC011+160.471127318:55
95A. BurakovskyL202+250.56000—18:50
7K. ConnautonD000020.33310—17:14
27R. GravesD000040.09406—17:12
37J. CompherL000+210.030003316:43
28I. ColeD000000.00220—15:28
13V. NichushkinR000010.19000—14:45
11M. CalvertL000010.0100510013:20
41P. BellemareL000-100.001105613:01
83M. NietoL000-100.05100—12:56
17T. JostC000020.030023311:36
36T. TynanC000-120.10000010:30
81V. KamenevC000000.200104309:26
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Bibeau1091.9000.97-0.0331:24
30A. Werner(L)18135.7221.26-3.7428:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).