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Wild at Kings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Los Angeles Kings
▸3
FinalTV FS-N, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 10:56 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were MIN 28, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (27 saves, .964), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Carter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    J. Carter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0111809128
LAKLAK111111113335

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(6)
    S. Walker (4), A. Iafallo (4)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:10

2nd period

  1. LAK
    J. Carter(5)
    B. Hutton (3), T. Toffoli (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:56
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    15:40

3rd period

  1. LAK
    S. Walker(4)EN
    A. Kopitar (12)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:13

Penalties

MIN 14 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:32LAKKyle Clifford · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 16:56LAKMatt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 1:54LAKJeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 14:53MINJordan Greenway · Holdingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
  • 19:13MINEric Staal · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:13MINEric Staal · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 2nd 10:56 — LAK 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.53S. Walker · Goal · xG 0.50A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.25T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.16M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.16A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.14A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.13A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.12N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.09N. Prokhorkin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.03J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
3.01 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
1.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN56%44%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
35
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/3
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-300.00010—24:21
24M. DumbaD101+120.14110—24:09
25J. BrodinD000000.01020—21:14
46J. SpurgeonD000-340.44020—19:56
11Z. PariseL000-130.2610010019:16
77B. HuntD000010.16100—19:11
9M. KoivuC000020.111108019:01
14J. Eriksson EkC000-110.004005516:21
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.12100—16:19
16J. ZuckerL000-110.0921010016:12
12E. StaalC000-130.4301125015:38
22K. FialaL000020.68000—15:35
19L. KuninC000-140.191008814:38
18J. GreenwayL000-100.00722—14:22
21C. SoucyD000000.00200—12:08
38R. HartmanR000010.171105011:12
6R. DonatoC000010.17100009:54
49V. RaskC000010.060002509:00
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)34322.9412.68+0.6858:46

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).