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Kings at Senators
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-W, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2 in overtime, Jean-Gabriel Pageau scoring at 3:12. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 3:12 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 28, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G), 2. Anthony Duclair (1 G), 3. Anders Nilsson (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Pageau1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Duclair1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK091611102228
OTTOTT091151613333

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(4)
    A. Kopitar (11)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    6:51
  2. OTT
    A. Duclair(6)
    N. Zaitsev (4), B. Tkachuk (5)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:23

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Anisimov(2)
    T. Ennis (2), F. Chlapik (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    9:50
  2. LAK
    T. Toffoli(4)
    M. Roy (1), I. Kovalchuk (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    19:52

Overtime

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(7)
    N. Paul (4)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:12

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:49OTTChris Tierney · Holdingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 10:15OTTFilip Chlapik · Interferencedrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
  • 14:42LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

2nd

  • 10:15LAKIlya Kovalchuk · Interferencedrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalLAK goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, OT 3:12 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.36A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.26A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.18J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.17A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.17F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.15V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.10J. Davidsson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.05T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.02J. Davidsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsOTT
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK23%77%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-120.07332—27:37
11A. KopitarC011-100.002003524:33
27A. MartinezD000+210.02250—24:16
23D. BrownR101040.204005023:57
77J. CarterC000040.402203821:16
73T. ToffoliC101050.53100018:47
19A. IafalloL000+110.10200—17:57
26S. WalkerD000000.04110—17:46
3M. RoyD011020.12340—17:08
56K. MacDermidL000-210.06430—16:57
9A. KempeR000010.112005016:41
15B. HuttonD000030.04100—15:49
17I. KovalchukL011010.07002—15:32
51A. WagnerL000010.01200—13:11
46B. LizotteC000000.020006911:25
10M. AmadioR000-100.001005511:23
13K. CliffordL000010.02300—10:22
22T. LewisC000010.04000002:21
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(O)33303.9093.60+0.6061:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).