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Predators at Red Wings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸6
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-D+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Turris's goal at 5:32 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 26, DET 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 9 of 11 (.818), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (2 G), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roman Josi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Duchene2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0751514626
DETDET1501009124

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(1)
    F. Hronek (5), V. Filppula (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:35

2nd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(8)
    D. Hamhuis (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:00
  2. NSH
    K. Turris(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    5:32
  3. NSH
    C. Sissons(5)
    R. Ellis (13), P. Rinne (2)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:34
  4. NSH
    M. Duchene(3)
    M. Ekholm (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    7:36
  5. NSH
    M. Duchene(4)PPG
    F. Forsberg (5), R. Josi (10)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    18:30

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(6)PPG
    R. Josi (11), R. Johansen (9)
    snapxG 0.06
    6-1
    6:52

Penalties

NSH 11 PIM·DET 13 PIM

1st

  • 11:12NSHViktor Arvidsson · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 15:23NSHCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min

2nd

  • 14:11NSHRoman Josi · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 16:54DETDylan Larkin · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Ellis5 min
  • 16:54DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 16:54NSHRyan Ellis · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Larkin5 min

3rd

  • 6:18DETBrendan Perlini · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 10:41DETDylan Larkin · High sticking double minordrawn by Yannick Weber4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNSH goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Turris, 2nd 5:32 — NSH 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.28D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.22A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.16D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.15A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.14V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.14B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.13J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.00M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDET
2.96 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.12 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH57%43%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDET
26
Shots on goal
24
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022020.11102—22:22
14M. EkholmD011+100.03020—21:17
57D. FabbroD000+110.00110—21:16
4R. EllisD011000.08125—21:10
92R. JohansenC011040.360004418:24
13N. BoninoC101+110.070104617:49
33V. ArvidssonL000010.24102—17:46
9F. ForsbergL112020.32210—17:10
95M. DucheneC202+260.390005716:10
5D. HamhuisD011+200.00100—15:24
64M. GranlundC000020.35010014:10
8K. TurrisC101+220.141007513:58
10C. SissonsC101010.081003313:54
7Y. WeberD000+210.04010—13:44
19C. JarnkrokC000+120.63100012:43
15C. SmithC000+100.000023312:33
51A. WatsonL000010.04700—12:24
23R. GrimaldiR000+200.00010—12:10
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)24231.9582.48+1.4859:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).