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Jets at Sharks
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN3·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 18:36 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 19, SJS 53. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 51 of 53 (.962), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (51 saves, .962), 2. Kyle Connor (2 A), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck51 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG161914319
SJSSJS011128114253

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    G. Bourque(1)
    K. Connor (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:34

2nd period

  1. SJS
    B. Goodrow(4)
    J. Brodzinski (1), M. Vlasic (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:18
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(5)
    M. Scheifele (10), K. Connor (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:53

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(4)
    E. Kane (4), K. Labanc (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    0:49
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(7)
    J. Roslovic (4), B. Little (3)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +45 pts
    3-2
    18:36

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:06SJSLogan Couture · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

2nd

  • 4:24WPGDmitry Kulikov · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 9:41SJSEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 17:11WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWPG goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 3rd 18:36 — WPG 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.21B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.10M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.09J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.08J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.08B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.07K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.03L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.03P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.01T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 3.8 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSJS
1.63 G
All situations
2 G3.8
0.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG13%87%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.30 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSJS
19
Shots on goal
53
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.03010—25:08
55M. ScheifeleC011+110.050103223:07
7D. KulikovD000+100.00112—22:45
4N. PionkD000+100.00000—22:38
81K. ConnorL022+140.20000—19:46
26B. WheelerR101040.6412010019:23
3T. PoolmanD000-100.00020—18:04
27N. EhlersL101+120.16010—17:00
85M. PerreaultC000010.1232210016:51
28J. RoslovicC011+100.00100016:15
18B. LittleC011+120.310002915:51
9A. CoppC000000.000006415:35
57G. BourqueL101+120.08220—14:47
2A. BitettoD000+120.02400—14:38
5L. SbisaD000+100.01320—13:03
38L. ShawR000-100.0001010008:00
19D. GustafssonC000-100.00000006:43
73C. SuessL000-100.041002506:26
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)53512.9623.83+1.8360:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).