Skip to content
Panthers at Avalanche
NHL

Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-F·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Jonathan Huberdeau scoring at 0:29. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 0:29 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.5, COL 2.5; shots on goal were FLA 38, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Philipp Grubauer stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Philipp Grubauer (34 saves, .895).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer34 saves, .895

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA11201121411438
COLCOL270171600330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(3)
    P. Bellemare (4), M. Calvert (5)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:05
  2. FLA
    C. Sceviour(1)
    A. Ekblad (6), M. Weegar (6)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:59
  3. COL
    J. Donskoi(5)
    N. MacKinnon (10), S. Girard (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:28

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(7)
    I. Cole (6), N. Kadri (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:37
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(1)PPG
    K. Yandle (5), M. Hoffman (4)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    12:04
  3. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(6)
    A. Ekblad (7), E. Dadonov (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    18:30

Overtime

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(7)
    A. Barkov (14)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:29

Penalties

FLA 21 PIM·COL 25 PIM

1st

  • 0:07COLNathan MacKinnon · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 3:36FLAMark Pysyk · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 11:42COLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Denis Malgin2 min

2nd

  • 0:40FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 17:14COLIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 20:00FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min
  • 20:00COLNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar5 min

3rd

  • 11:53COLNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 11:53COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 11:53FLADryden Hunt · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 11:53FLADryden Hunt · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:53COLNikita Zadorov · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalFLA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, OT 0:29 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.22A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.21N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.21J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.12M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.04I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.01M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCOL
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA48%52%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCOL
38
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/2
21
Penalty minutes
25
15
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022+230.09110—25:15
16A. BarkovC112+220.150006322:28
11J. HuberdeauL202+220.18010—20:34
52M. WeegarD011-250.16417—20:21
63E. DadonovL011+130.10000—20:18
3K. YandleD011010.23100—20:06
6A. StralmanD000-220.05010—18:15
77F. VatranoR000-110.11200—17:18
13M. PysykD000-110.04012—15:17
68M. HoffmanC011+130.18000014:59
62D. MalginC000-120.121106714:53
61R. StillmanD000020.08000—14:41
55N. AcciariC000-110.020003514:36
7C. SceviourC101-120.1100010014:19
9B. BoyleC000+100.003102513:12
10B. ConnollyR000060.79100—12:57
8J. HawrylukR000-100.01000—09:24
73D. HuntL000020.062012—09:15
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)30273.9002.55-0.4559:48

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).