San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 10:59 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.4, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 36, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Nick Paul (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Paul2 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A

- ★★★C. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-16:34
1-19:30
1-215:27
2nd period
1-310:59
2-313:14
2-419:09
3rd period
2-516:36
Penalties
1st
- 8:02
Mark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
- 9:10
Connor Brown · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
- 13:17
Brady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
- 16:57
Brenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
- 18:06
Tomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
2nd
- 1:09
Kevin Labanc · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
- 2:12
served by T. Meier · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 3:03
Tyler Ennis · Trippingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
3rd
- 4:34
served by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 18:43
Scott Sabourin · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Paul, 2nd 10:59 — 72% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.42 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.3
- 1.11 G
- Even strength
- 5 G1.8
- 1.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.30
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/6
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 23
- Hits
- 36
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 28
- 12
- Giveaways
- 11
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 2-0
2@
5this game
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
