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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCA·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 10:59 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.4, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 36, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Nick Paul (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    N. Paul2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11419013236
OTTOTT2821418530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:34
  2. SJS
    E. Kane(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    9:30
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    15:27

2nd period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:59
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:14
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    19:09

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:36

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·OTT 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:02OTTMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 9:10OTTConnor Brown · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 13:17OTTBrady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 16:57SJSBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 18:06SJSTomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

2nd

  • 1:09SJSKevin Labanc · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 2:12SJSserved by T. Meier · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:03OTTTyler Ennis · Trippingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min

3rd

  • 4:34OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:43OTTScott Sabourin · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSJS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 2nd 10:59 — OTT 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.22B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.16A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.16A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsOTT
2.42 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS52%48%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsOTT
36
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
36
14
Blocked shots
28
12
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD022+100.04130—25:33
65E. KarlssonD000-420.15210—22:11
44M. VlasicD000-110.01010—20:12
9E. KaneL101-260.543006719:30
48T. HertlC000-220.360025718:55
39L. CoutureC011040.100202018:48
28T. MeierR000-250.43110—18:15
4B. DillonD000-410.01622—17:36
12P. MarleauC000020.111006716:56
62K. LabancR101030.19002—16:24
7D. GambrellC000-100.070102016:13
19J. ThorntonC000-110.120005015:26
38M. FerraroD000010.00110—14:35
20M. SorensenL000-130.18400—12:54
72T. HeedD000030.05100—11:05
23B. GoodrowC000-120.081103811:03
68M. KarlssonC000-100.00010009:44
73N. GregorL000-100.02200—06:40
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(L)22184.8181.77-2.2340:00
31M. Jones871.8750.54-0.4620:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).