Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 7:55 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 40, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 2. Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Kadri2 G

- ★★P. Bellemare1 G, 2 A

- ★★★C. Makar1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-00:28
1-118:30
2-119:13
2nd period
3-17:55
4-110:11
5-115:50
3rd period
6-117:58
Penalties
1st
- 11:07
Gabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
- 11:07
Max Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
- 16:04
Nikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
- 16:06
Cody Glass · Interferencedrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
2nd
- 5:35
Nazem Kadri · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
- 8:44
Paul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 12:36
Cody Eakin · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
3rd
- 8:20
Erik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
- 17:36
Ian Cole · Boardingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 7:55 — 64% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.56 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.8
- 2.04 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 1.75
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 28
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 5
- Giveaways
- 12
- 11
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
COL leads 2-0
6@
1this game
7@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
