Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 1:18. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 1:18 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 28, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Mikko Koskinen stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (2 G).
Three stars
- ★L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A

- ★★C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

- ★★★A. Ovechkin2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-113:20
2nd period
1-15:40
2-16:27
3-113:40
3rd period
3-24:25
3-318:22
Overtime
3-41:18
Penalties
1st
- 4:08
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by James Neal2 min
- 17:55
Markus Granlund · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 0:26
Alex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 11:59
Matt Benning · Closing hand on puck2 min
- 17:58
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
- 17:58
Zack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 1:18 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.93 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.0
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 4 G3.6
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.90
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 40
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 19
- Hits
- 20
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 11
- Giveaways
- 19
- 8
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
