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Penguins at Panthers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Florida Panthers
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denis Malgin's goal at 18:00 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 25, FLA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Denis Malgin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brian Boyle.

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    D. Malgin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    B. Boyle

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0816111225
FLAFLA0521027422

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Acciari(3)
    D. Hunt (3), C. Sceviour (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:54
  2. PIT
    T. Blueger(2)
    J. Guentzel (4), D. Simon (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:57
  3. FLA
    D. Malgin(3)
    J. Huberdeau (6)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:00

3rd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(4)
    A. Stralman (4), A. Barkov (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    13:42
  2. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(5)
    J. Guentzel (5), S. Crosby (9)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    2-3
    14:25
  3. FLA
    F. Vatrano(2)EN
    D. Malgin (3), A. Barkov (8)
    slapxG 0.48win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:57

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 19:28PITPatric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

3rd

  • 10:49FLAAnton Stralman · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Denis Malgin, 2nd 18:00 — FLA 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.48D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.28B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.20E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.10D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.08D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.06B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA4 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT44%56%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
22
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
22
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-230.13200—23:20
59J. GuentzelC022+140.23000023:19
6J. MarinoD000-310.06120—22:16
28M. PetterssonD000020.03010—22:12
4J. SchultzD000030.12110—21:46
87S. CrosbyC011020.141002921:41
12D. SimonC011000.00010017:52
72P. HornqvistR101030.15112—16:43
3J. JohnsonD000+110.03000—15:37
53T. BluegerC101-110.110006015:04
44E. GudbransonD000000.00110—14:49
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.27100—13:36
37S. LaffertyC000-110.011008313:34
24D. KahunC000-120.22000013:06
13B. TanevL000-210.15300—12:24
19J. McCannL000000.090008012:09
36J. BlandisiC000-100.000005009:37
47A. JohnsonC000-100.00020009:34
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)21183.8572.02-0.9859:20

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).