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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 5:07 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 18, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 2 A), 2. David Perron (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL190108118
STLSTL1921105325

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(6)PPG
    V. Dunn (2), V. Tarasenko (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    10:07
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(5)PPG
    C. Makar (8), M. Rantanen (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:38

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(5)
    V. Tarasenko (7), J. Faulk (4)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:07
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(3)
    J. Schwartz (6), C. Parayko (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    15:06

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·STL 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:18STLJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:35COLIan Cole · Interference2 min
  • 10:41STLAlexander Steen · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 12:15STLJay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 17:50COLAndre Burakovsky · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 17:50COLNazem Kadri · Roughingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
  • 17:50STLMackenzie MacEachern · Roughingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

2nd

  • 12:33STLJay Bouwmeester · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

3rd

  • 0:42STLJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 5:21COLNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 13:14COLAndre Burakovsky · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 18:13COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 5:07 — STL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.26V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.16C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.14R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.13S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
1.81 G
All situations
3 G2.3
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL42%58%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
18
Shots on goal
25
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/5
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
9
13
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC101-120.050002022:29
49S. GirardD000-100.00010—22:12
6E. JohnsonD000-100.00110—21:17
92G. LandeskogL000000.002023319:35
91N. KadriC000030.510024718:42
8C. MakarD011-100.00010—18:22
16N. ZadorovD000-110.01512—18:04
95A. BurakovskyL000-120.20014—17:21
28I. ColeD000000.00222—16:55
37J. CompherL000000.211004216:14
72J. DonskoiR000-100.00100—16:04
22C. WilsonC000010.22210014:43
17T. JostC000040.280105013:52
27R. GravesD000020.02110—13:22
11M. CalvertL000010.01310—12:59
41P. BellemareL000-100.001002910:50
83M. NietoL000-110.02000—10:32
96M. RantanenR011010.30000—08:24
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)25223.8802.28-0.7259:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).