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Senators at Coyotes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV FS-A, FS-A PLUS·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Ekman-Larsson's goal at 8:32 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 36, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.7 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Capobianco (1 G), 3. Carl Soderberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Garland1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Capobianco1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Soderberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT05010221236
ARIARI2817212527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    K. Capobianco(1)
    V. Hinostroza (2), A. Goligoski (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:09
  2. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(1)
    C. Keller (6), D. Stepan (3)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:32

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Garland(4)
    B. Richardson (1), N. Schmaltz (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    9:40

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Soderberg(2)PPG
    C. Garland (1), A. Goligoski (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    1:18
  2. OTT
    V. Namestnikov(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    2:58
  3. OTT
    C. Tierney(2)PPG
    T. Chabot (3), C. Anderson (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    4:08
  4. ARI
    L. Crouse(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78
    2-5
    19:05

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:49OTTJordan Szwarz · Hookingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min
  • 16:30OTTColin White · Hookingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min

2nd

  • 13:46OTTAnthony Duclair · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:20ARIPhil Kessel · Holding the stickdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min
  • 19:35OTTConnor Brown · High sticking double minordrawn by Christian Fischer4 min

3rd

  • 3:33ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Interferencedrawn by Colin White2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalOTT goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, 1st 8:32 — ARI 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.78A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.48O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.26D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.24N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.16C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.15C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.13C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.12B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.03K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Capobianco · Goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI5 G · 4.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsARI
1.92 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT28%72%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsARI
36
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
17
23
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-260.16050—27:50
22N. ZaitsevD000+110.12260—27:02
71C. TierneyC101-120.151006520:13
44J. PageauC000+130.172005218:59
2D. DeMeloD000-300.00110—18:30
7B. TkachukL000-130.12400—18:16
81R. HainseyD000020.01100—18:10
90V. NamestnikovC101-140.461105018:03
28C. BrownR000-120.08014—17:54
36C. WhiteC000-320.181023116:17
74M. BorowieckiD000-130.06230—14:42
63T. EnnisR000-330.25200—14:16
10A. DuclairL000-120.08102—13:53
26E. BrannstromD000-120.04020—11:57
9B. RyanR000-110.03110—11:14
13N. PaulL000000.0140010008:14
49S. SabourinR000000.00420—08:14
27J. SzwarzC000000.001126007:33
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)26224.8463.28-0.7258:38

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).