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Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-2. The Jets scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Simon's goal at 16:28 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.4, WPG 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 28, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Laurent Brossoit stopped 21 of 28 (.750), 4.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Lafferty (2 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (2 A), 3. Zachary Aston-Reese (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Lafferty2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1931039728
WPGWPG19110010229

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:47
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:09

2nd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.33win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    7:50
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:31
  3. WPG
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    10:00
  4. PIT
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    16:28

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    9:13
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    11:40
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12
    7-2
    14:46

Penalties

PIT 12 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:57PITDominik Kahun · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 6:05WPGMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 9:23PITErik Gudbranson · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 12:09PITDominik Simon · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 13:24WPGKyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

3rd

  • 4:51PITJohn Marino · High stickingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 14:39PITAdam Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 16:25PITserved by D. Kahun · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalPIT goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Simon, 2nd 16:28 — PIT 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.36M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.25M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.15P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.08C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.00J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWPG
2.47 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT53%47%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD022+330.10100—25:21
8B. DumoulinD011+320.05220—24:31
59J. GuentzelC202+230.58100019:13
87S. CrosbyC022+220.400007118:24
6J. MarinoD000-100.00222—18:14
4J. SchultzD011+310.04010—17:59
28M. PetterssonD022+310.02000—17:23
72P. HornqvistR000000.00000—16:45
44E. GudbransonD000-110.01102—16:36
46Z. Aston-ReeseL213+350.4414010016:21
12D. SimonC101+210.21102015:45
53T. BluegerC011+120.160003815:41
13B. TanevL011+120.04320—14:37
37S. LaffertyC202+240.370203613:20
19J. McCannL000-110.002205813:13
24D. KahunC000000.00002011:37
36J. BlandisiC011+200.00100008:01
47A. JohnsonC000000.00012006:29
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)29272.9312.24+0.2459:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).