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Jets at Islanders
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 4:38 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 36, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Josh Bailey (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thomas Greiss (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01519012136
NYINYI0931915433

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(1)PPG
    A. Beauvillier (2), D. Toews (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    1:51
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)
    J. Bailey (1), R. Pulock (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:38
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(1)
    S. Mayfield (1), M. Barzal (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    15:55
  4. WPG
    P. Laine(1)
    B. Wheeler (1), A. Bitetto (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    17:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(1)
    D. Brassard (1), L. Komarov (2)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:25

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:52NYICasey Cizikas · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 19:57WPGCarl Dahlstrom · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

2nd

  • 10:34NYIDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWPG goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 4:38 — NYI 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.23A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.19B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.18B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.18L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.18R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.17M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI4 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYI
2.21 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG36%64%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYI
36
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-120.04100—23:32
14V. HeinolaD000-150.09200—23:01
23C. DahlstromD000-110.01002—19:49
7D. KulikovD000-120.11200—19:40
55M. ScheifeleC000010.052003519:25
26B. WheelerR011020.053006718:34
81K. ConnorL000-150.86100—18:18
27N. EhlersL000-240.20020—18:11
9A. CoppC000-110.041004617:32
29P. LaineL101+140.23220—17:23
2A. BitettoD011010.01300—16:05
85M. PerreaultC000-110.0210010013:29
28J. RoslovicC000-120.160007513:16
3T. PoolmanD000000.03000—13:15
22M. LetestuC000010.020104012:30
17A. LowryC000000.032105712:23
57G. BourqueL000010.00420—11:10
82M. AppletonC000-130.27100010:33
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(L)33294.8793.01-0.9960:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).