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Coyotes at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
1
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-A·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Stepan's goal at 8:24 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were ARI 41, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Stepan (2 G), 2. Ryan Carpenter, 3. Lawson Crouse (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Stepan2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Carpenter
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI111212118441
VGKVGK11508015138

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(33)
    P. Stastny (29)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    16:26
  2. ARI
    R. Panik(14)
    C. Keller (33), C. Dvorak (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:23

2nd period

  1. ARI
    D. Stepan(14)
    L. Crouse (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:24
  2. ARI
    D. Stepan(15)
    L. Crouse (14), J. Demers (6)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    16:55

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Garland(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    12:09

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

2nd

  • 14:43VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 2:57ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 2:57VGKRyan Carpenter · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 16:46VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 18:02ARIAlex Galchenyuk · High stickingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalARI goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Derek Stepan, 2nd 8:24 — ARI 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.22W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.19R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.18T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.15T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 2.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsVGK
3.34 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI72%28%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsVGK
41
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
32
16
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
7
17
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000010.08202—22:01
44K. ConnautonD000+110.19210—21:00
4N. HjalmarssonD000+100.00020—20:29
9C. KellerR011060.62000—18:47
14R. PanikR101030.39310—18:31
33A. GoligoskiD000+210.01320—18:18
55J. DemersD011000.00120—18:13
21D. StepanC202+230.290004218:08
6J. ChychrunD000+230.06010—17:59
13V. HinostrozaC000040.32020015:46
15B. RichardsonR000030.213005014:30
18C. DvorakC011010.371106314:30
67L. CrouseL022+240.13510—13:48
17A. GalchenyukC000+110.04112013:16
45J. ArchibaldR000+200.00310—13:11
40M. GrabnerL000010.05000—12:44
83C. GarlandR101+170.36110—12:37
25N. CousinsC000+120.233001412:14
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)38371.9742.04+1.0460:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).