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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSCA+, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Nyquist's goal at 18:48 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.9, EDM 2.8; shots on goal were SJS 27, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Brent Burns (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joe Thornton (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    B. Burns1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Thornton1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS21211005327
EDMEDM1811307228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:03
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:52
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    10:04

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    3:22
  2. SJS
    B. Burns (66), E. Kane (25)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:48

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:43EDMZack Kassian · Hookingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 12:11SJSJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 3:22SJSserved by K. Labanc · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 10:37EDMMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 10:37SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min

3rd

  • 1:06SJSBrenden Dillon · Hookingdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min
  • 10:17EDMColby Cave · Hookingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 20:00SJSBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSJS goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Gustav Nyquist, 2nd 18:48 — SJS 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.35A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.35L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.23A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.22T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gambardella · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gambardella · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gambardella · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsEDM
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS51%49%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
28
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
7
15
Giveaways
9
17
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD112+310.21342—26:47
44M. VlasicD000+100.00130—23:05
61J. BraunD000010.01220—22:00
4B. DillonD000-100.01312—21:39
9E. KaneL011+110.103005018:55
8J. PavelskiC000020.440126718:09
48T. HertlC011+110.071006318:00
39L. CoutureC000070.910106717:57
19J. ThorntonC011+100.000105516:27
20M. SorensenL101030.33200—15:19
14G. NyquistR101+140.22310—13:22
23B. GoodrowC000020.312105612:37
68M. KarlssonC000000.01000012:31
62K. LabancR000-100.00000—12:24
67J. MiddletonD011+200.00110—11:50
28T. MeierR000-130.23102—11:35
72T. HeedD000-210.02000—10:39
18M. HaleyL000010.03200—09:06
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(W)28262.9292.79+0.7959:38

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).