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Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 2:49 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 29, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Alexander Steen (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (26 saves, .897), 3. Alex Pietrangelo (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Steen2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington26 saves, .897
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI31206011329
STLSTL51618111735

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.44win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:49
  2. STL
    D. Perron (23), B. Schenn (37)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    3:28
  3. STL
    A. Steen(9)SHG
    snapxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    5:33
  4. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    6:45
  5. STL
    T. Bozak (25), R. Thomas (24)
    tip-inxG 0.30win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    6:58
  6. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    7:24
  7. STL
    D. Perron(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    9:41
  8. PHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    3-5
    19:17

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.31win prob +8 pts
    3-6
    13:06

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    10:34

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:09PHIRadko Gudas · Hookingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 4:13STLCarl Gunnarsson · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 8:56PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 10:38STLTyler Bozak · Hookingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min

3rd

  • 2:35STLRobert Thomas · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 5:09PHIRobert Hagg · Roughingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 5:09PHISamuel Morin · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 5:09STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 5:52STLDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 15:27PHITravis Konecny · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 1st 2:49 — STL 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.44B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.31P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.30A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.23A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.14R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.10R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.09A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.07J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01
STL7 G · 3.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsSTL
2.73 G
All situations
7 G3.6
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
3
9
Giveaways
2
13
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000020.30110—23:35
14S. CouturierC011020.300025623:26
6T. SanheimD000030.03010—23:03
25J. van RiemsdykL112+250.35000—20:42
28C. GirouxR101020.290004020:00
3R. GudasD000+100.00102—19:20
93J. VoracekR000020.4100010017:55
11T. KonecnyR000-220.090025017:02
21S. LaughtonC011020.101105917:00
53S. GostisbehereD000-110.02110—16:31
23O. LindblomL101-150.49000—14:47
8R. HaggD000000.00112—13:41
10C. KnightC000-200.000005013:27
12M. RafflL000-210.12010—11:58
38R. HartmanR011+110.06340—11:45
44P. VaroneC000-210.131105010:53
5S. MorinL000-100.00012—10:07
61P. MyersD000-300.00000—09:44
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart30273.9002.37-0.6353:02
37B. Elliott(L)514.2001.21-2.7906:58

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).