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Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW+, NBCSP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 16:39 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 55% to 74%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.6, DAL 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 34, DAL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.5 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (2 G, 2 A), 2. Esa Lindell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anton Khudobin (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI09215010234
DALDAL2528217630

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:34
  2. DAL
    E. Lindell(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    4:14

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:13
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    11:33
  3. DAL
    A. Radulov(28)PPG
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    16:39
  4. DAL
    R. Hintz (12), E. Lindell (21)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    18:40

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    9:33
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    9:43

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:50PHISamuel Morin · Hookingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 13:12PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 11:11DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 15:02PHINolan Patrick · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:56DALRoman Polak · Elbowingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:57PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 1:16PHIserved by T. Konecny · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 4:15PHIRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min
  • 10:38DALMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 14:01DALAlexander Radulov · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Bailey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 2nd 16:39 — DAL 55% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.17J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.12B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL6 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDAL
2.62 G
All situations
6 G2.5
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI53%47%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-120.10310—24:31
6T. SanheimD000-110.18112—23:54
14S. CouturierC000-140.640205621:23
28C. GirouxR011-130.140105920:58
53S. GostisbehereD101-220.15002—19:36
8R. HaggD000-200.00420—18:20
23O. LindblomL101+130.26100—17:03
61P. MyersD000000.00110—16:31
19N. PatrickC011020.250026416:28
21S. LaughtonC000-220.231101316:00
93J. VoracekR011-230.18000—15:56
25J. van RiemsdykL000-160.33100—15:45
11T. KonecnyR011010.06130—14:52
5S. MorinL000020.03212—13:16
38R. HartmanR000-210.08302—11:59
10C. KnightC000000.000004008:07
12M. RafflL000010.00010—07:40
27J. BaileyR000010.02020—06:40
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)30246.8002.48-3.5260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).