Skip to content

Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV PRIME, SNW·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 6:46 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 30, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. David Rittich stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 18 of 25 (.720), 4.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Ryan (2 G), 2. Mark Jankowski (1 G, 2 A), 3. James Neal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Ryan2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Jankowski1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Neal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY21015415730
LAKLAK2801106225

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:07
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:29
  3. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:09
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    19:20

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    6:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    0:13
  2. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    2:33
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    8:30
  4. CGY
    backhandxG 0.03
    7-2
    8:45

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:34CGYSam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 16:51CGYMark Jankowski · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

2nd

  • 3:15CGYAlan Quine · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

3rd

  • 11:47LAKDustin Brown · High stickingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 2nd 6:46 — CGY 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.30C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.25K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.13A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.10I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.10C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.10K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.06T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.06M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.05A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.04T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.03K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
3.17 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.87 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY62%38%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
30
Shots on goal
25
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. VälimäkiD011010.08110—21:58
26M. StoneD011000.04110—21:53
3O. FantenbergD000+220.02010—21:32
6D. ProutD000+300.04220—20:28
10D. RyanC202+240.471008318:42
77M. JankowskiL123+210.030025317:59
4R. AnderssonD011+200.00000—17:39
21G. HathawayR011+220.56210—16:40
58O. KylingtonD011+320.04110—16:30
28E. LindholmC000-120.091305016:24
67M. FrolikR000+200.00110—15:23
89A. QuineC011+120.242023814:22
27A. CzarnikC011+100.000105014:09
88A. MangiapaneL101+220.09200—13:38
18J. NealL112+460.68000—13:20
13J. GaudreauL101020.34000—12:30
23S. MonahanC011020.130002011:41
93S. BennettC101020.26102009:12
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)25232.9202.51+0.5160:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).