Rangers at Flyers 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New York Rangers

▸3

Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBC·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYR 25, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G), 3. Marc Staal.

Three stars

★
A. Georgiev29 saves, 1.000
★★
P. Buchnevich1 G
★★★
M. Staal

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	29	06	110	325
PHI	07	011	011	029

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

P. Buchnevich(20)
M. Zibanejad (42), C. Kreider (24)
wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
1-0
16:25
R. Strome(18)
B. Howden (16), B. Smith (8)
snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
2-0
19:57

3rd period

B. Skjei(7)
R. Strome (15), B. Howden (17)
snapxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
3-0
7:39

Penalties

8 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

2:25Brendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
4:27Brendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
8:17Michael Raffl · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

3rd

4:57Brendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
16:01Brendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
18:29Travis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: PHI

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 1st 19:57 — NYR 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att PHI

0 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.73 G
All situations: 0 G2.2; 1.53 G
Even strength: 0 G1.2; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

40%60%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

25
Shots on goal: 29; 40%
Faceoffs: 60%; 0/2
Power play: 0/4; 8
Penalty minutes: 4; 15
Hits: 20; 22
Blocked shots: 12; 2
Giveaways: 10; 8
Takeaways: 11

Box score

every player line

New York Rangers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
76B. SkjeiD	1	0	1	+1	3	0.10	2	5	0	100	26:15
22K. ShattenkirkD	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	3	0	—	24:46
93M. ZibanejadC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	41	20:02
18M. StaalD	0	0	0	+2	2	0.10	0	4	0	—	19:41
16R. StromeC	1	1	2	+2	3	0.26	0	0	0	20	18:30
44N. PionkD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	—	17:41
77T. DeAngeloD	0	0	0	+3	1	0.01	1	0	0	—	17:33
26J. VeseyL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	100	17:23
20C. KreiderL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	0	2	0	—	15:00
90V. NamestnikovC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	0	14:24
42B. SmithD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	1	0	8	—	14:22
72F. ChytilC	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	42	13:51
21B. HowdenC	0	2	2	+2	2	0.25	2	2	0	17	13:10
24B. NievesC	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	50	12:28
89P. BuchnevichL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	1	0	0	—	12:28
33F. ClaessonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	—	12:21
50L. AnderssonC	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	0	0	43	12:15
95V. LettieriC	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	100	10:07

New York Rangers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40A. Georgiev(W)	29	29	0	1.000	2.21	+2.21	59:43

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

1st period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score