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St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV FS-MW, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2 in overtime, Vince Dunn scoring at 4:57. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vince Dunn's goal at 4:57 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 27, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Cory Schneider stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Vince Dunn (1 G), 2. Tyler Bozak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joey Anderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Dunn1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Bozak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Anderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL161100813327
NJDNJD09280901227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Maroon (17), T. Bozak (24)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:09

2nd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    4:57
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:56
  3. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:52

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:57

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:42STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 11:55STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 3:24STLJay Bouwmeester · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 17:50NJDSteven Santini · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalSTL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Vince Dunn, OT 4:57 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.28N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.19D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.19P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.15D. Stafford · Goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.14K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.14A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.12M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.11C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.03M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02C. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD2 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNJD
2.63 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL41%59%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
24
6
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000030.21120—26:16
55C. ParaykoD000+100.08310—23:51
29V. DunnD101+220.26220—23:11
19J. BouwmeesterD011+100.00032—22:02
21T. BozakC112+230.110008819:05
57D. PerronL000010.33010—18:22
90R. O'ReillyC011+120.140005018:18
17J. SchwartzL000020.24010—16:56
91V. TarasenkoR000+240.36010—16:56
18R. ThomasC112+220.17000016:40
10B. SchennC000020.2600010016:30
41R. BortuzzoD000000.02300—15:50
70O. SundqvistC000010.151024614:46
7P. MaroonL011+210.03110—14:37
4C. GunnarssonD000-110.10120—13:22
20A. SteenL000-120.0501010012:17
12Z. SanfordL000-100.00010—10:33
49I. BarbashevL000-110.09102—10:13
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)27252.9263.19+1.1964:48

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).