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Islanders at Jets
NHL

New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸5
Winnipeg Jets
4
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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-4. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 18:47 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 44, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 39 of 44 (.886), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Pulock (3 A), 3. Adam Lowry (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI112120312544
WPGWPG21818111437

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(10)
    B. Tanev (13), N. Beaulieu (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:13
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(11)
    J. Trouba (39), B. Tanev (14)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:11
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(18)
    J. Eberle (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    10:19

2nd period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev(14)
    N. Beaulieu (9), A. Lowry (10)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:46
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(28)PPG
    R. Pulock (26), J. Bailey (38)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:06

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(36)PPG
    J. Trouba (40), B. Wheeler (69)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    6:46
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(16)
    R. Pulock (27), A. Pelech (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    7:49
  3. NYI
    C. Cizikas(20)
    A. Beauvillier (9), R. Pulock (28)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    18:14
  4. NYI
    J. Eberle(17)
    M. Barzal (43), A. Lee (21)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +45 pts
    5-4
    18:47

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:01NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min

2nd

  • 4:37WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:05WPGTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 11:27NYIJohnny Boychuk · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 17:28WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 19:31WPGMathieu Perreault · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

3rd

  • 5:44NYIJosh Bailey · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 13:53NYILeo Komarov · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYI goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 3rd 18:47 — NYI 48% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.21P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13B. Little · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.12B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.05B. Little · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWPG
3.55 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.94 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI71%29%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWPG
44
Shots on goal
37
32%
Faceoffs
68%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
28
18
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD033070.36310—25:50
3A. PelechD011-120.04220—22:55
2N. LeddyD000+230.09020—21:00
29B. NelsonC000-130.360004420:03
13M. BarzalC112+350.330201818:54
15C. ClutterbuckR000-150.26220—18:13
12J. BaileyR011-120.21012—17:07
55J. BoychukD000+200.00222—17:02
27A. LeeL112+330.191005016:42
53C. CizikasC101-110.260202816:38
7J. EberleR213+340.750004016:34
24S. MayfieldD000-110.03112—15:35
25D. ToewsD000020.05200—15:29
28M. Dal ColleL000-130.36010—13:38
18A. BeauvillierR011+120.100006712:53
47L. KomarovR000000.00202—10:45
14T. KuhnhacklR000000.07020—08:27
17M. MartinL000-210.02200—05:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)37334.8922.21-1.7960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).