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San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, NBCSCA·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 11:45 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 25, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Roy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    M. Roy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1711107225
LAKLAK11501139435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:19
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:33

2nd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:45

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    9:28
  2. LAK
    A. Iafallo (16), D. Brown (24)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +33 pts
    2-3
    11:45
  3. LAK
    J. Carter(11)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +10 pts
    2-4
    18:43

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:47LAKAustin Wagner · Slashingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 18:47SJSBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min

2nd

  • 16:31LAKJeff Carter · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 16:58LAKAlec Martinez · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSJS goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 3rd 11:45 — LAK 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.28D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.20A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.18T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02P. LaDue · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsLAK
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS44%56%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
35
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
24
4
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
13
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011030.20300—23:31
4B. DillonD000-110.07202—21:10
48T. HertlC101030.370102819:31
47J. RyanD000000.03100—19:11
61J. BraunD000-120.03200—18:54
44M. VlasicD011-110.07100—18:08
28T. MeierR000-120.23100—17:13
9E. KaneL000020.221005017:05
19J. ThorntonC000-100.000005416:58
72T. HeedD000-120.02010—16:47
27J. DonskoiR011-110.09110—16:25
20M. SorensenL000-120.10110—16:09
14G. NyquistR000020.06000—16:02
62K. LabancR000020.23100—15:53
23B. GoodrowC101010.122004013:38
68M. KarlssonC000-110.07000011:54
52L. RadilC000-100.00000010:12
18M. HaleyL000-100.05100—09:48
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)34313.9122.33-0.6759:31

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).