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Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-D, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 3:22 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were DET 22, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Ivan Barbashev (3 G), 2. Alexander Steen (3 A), 3. Thomas Vanek (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    I. Barbashev3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Steen3 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Vanek2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET170817222
STLSTL1826210524

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:05
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:46

2nd period

  1. STL
    A. Steen (14), V. Dunn (21)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:22
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:16

3rd period

  1. DET
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    8:48
  2. STL
    R. Thomas (22), T. Bozak (23)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:19
  3. STL
    Z. Sanford (10), A. Steen (16)
    wristxG 0.93
    2-5
    19:11

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·STL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 5:33DETFrans Nielsen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:00STLVince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 5:31DETBrian Lashoff · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDET goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 2nd 3:22 — STL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.93I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.20V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.20J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.16A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.10C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.03A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsSTL
1.72 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsSTL
22
Shots on goal
24
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000-200.00040—24:58
17F. HronekD000-110.07110—24:32
71D. LarkinC000-220.142103822:50
74M. BoweyD011000.01010—20:16
55N. KronwallD011-100.00100—19:33
39A. ManthaR000-230.15000—19:22
72A. AthanasiouC000-110.210005617:21
59T. BertuzziL000000.12100—16:54
53T. HiroseL011-120.0801010016:12
43D. HelmC000-210.02010016:00
41L. GlendeningC000030.223208015:06
26T. VanekL202050.49000—14:45
28L. WitkowskiD000-200.00210—14:32
51F. NielsenC011+120.073126414:07
32B. LashoffD000000.00002—14:06
70C. EhnC000-110.00100010:25
27M. RasmussenC000-210.081005009:46
56R. KuffnerL000000.00100—06:30
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)23194.8262.39-1.6158:45

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).