Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 3:22 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were DET 22, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Ivan Barbashev (3 G), 2. Alexander Steen (3 A), 3. Thomas Vanek (2 G).
Three stars
- ★I. Barbashev3 G

- ★★A. Steen3 A

- ★★★T. Vanek2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-02:05
1-111:46
2nd period
1-23:22
1-38:16
3rd period
2-38:48
2-410:19
2-519:11
Penalties
2nd
- 5:33
Frans Nielsen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 15:00
Vince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
3rd
- 5:31
Brian Lashoff · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 2nd 3:22 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.72 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.3
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.1
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 16
- Hits
- 20
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 4
- Giveaways
- 7
- 7
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
4Final
2@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
