Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 5:57 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — WSH 1.7, NJD 1.6; shots on goal were WSH 22, NJD 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Connolly (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G), 3. Pheonix Copley (20 saves, .952).
Three stars
- ★B. Connolly1 G, 1 A

- ★★E. Kuznetsov1 G

- ★★★P. Copley20 saves, .952

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-02:52
1-119:59
2nd period
2-15:57
3-112:16
4-113:28
Penalties
1st
- 9:59
Kurtis Gabriel · Cross checkingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
2nd
- 6:34
Lars Eller · Slashingdrawn by Steven Santini2 min
3rd
- 0:51
Michal Kempny · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brett Connolly, 2nd 5:57 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.74 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.6
- 1.74 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 1.56
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 15
- Hits
- 21
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 6
- 1
- Giveaways
- 6
- 5
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
