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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSWA·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 5:57 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — WSH 1.7, NJD 1.6; shots on goal were WSH 22, NJD 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Connolly (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G), 3. Pheonix Copley (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    B. Connolly1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    P. Copley20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH143909422
NJDNJD170509121

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd (13), B. Connolly (22)
    wristwin prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:52
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:59

2nd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    5:57
  2. WSH
    J. Vrana (23), D. Orlov (24)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    12:16
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    13:28

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:59NJDKurtis Gabriel · Cross checkingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

2nd

  • 6:34WSHLars Eller · Slashingdrawn by Steven Santini2 min

3rd

  • 0:51WSHMichal Kempny · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Connolly, 2nd 5:57 — WSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Pietila · On goal · xG 0.36M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.24K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.22K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.05K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Agostino · Goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pietila · Missed · xG 0.03K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.03M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02K. Agostino · Missed · xG 0.01K. Gabriel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD1 G · 1.6 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
1.74 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.74 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH53%47%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 1.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
22
Shots on goal
21
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
6
1
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2M. NiskanenD000010.03010—21:18
9D. OrlovD011+200.00510—21:04
74J. CarlsonD000+210.05000—20:55
3N. JensenD000+120.04110—19:25
6M. KempnyD000010.02202—19:24
8A. OvechkinL011+100.00000—18:26
43T. WilsonR101020.24320—17:26
92E. KuznetsovC101040.450005416:29
29C. DjoosD011+110.09010—16:26
62C. HagelinL011000.11000—15:15
20L. EllerC000+110.030025615:11
19N. BackstromC011+100.000002214:37
10B. ConnollyR112+210.12100—14:20
77T. OshieR000+110.06000—13:55
18C. StephensonC000000.000005013:53
13J. VranaL011+130.31000—13:36
65A. BurakovskyL101+130.12010—12:17
26N. DowdC011+110.063104012:03
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1P. Copley(W)21201.9521.56+0.5660:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).