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St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vince Dunn's goal at 13:34 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 26, PIT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 12 of 13 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (40 saves, .976), 2. Vince Dunn (2 G), 3. Patrick Maroon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Dunn2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Maroon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL2112916526
PITPIT013110018141

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:56
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:34

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas (19), T. Bozak (19)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:31
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    2:41
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    9:53

3rd period

  1. STL
    V. Dunn(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.11
    5-1
    13:57

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:37STLDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 8:08STLTyler Bozak · Interferencedrawn by Matt Cullen2 min

2nd

  • 14:11STLVince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 17:08PITDominik Simon · Slashingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min

3rd

  • 10:09STLIvan Barbashev · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 13:02PITPhil Kessel · High stickingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSTL goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Vince Dunn, 1st 13:34 — STL 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.17P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.14J. Blandisi · On goal · xG 0.13T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08D. Simon · Goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.04E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blandisi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.00G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPIT
2.05 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL35%65%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
7
9
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD022+200.02260—24:30
19J. BouwmeesterD101+230.16210—23:40
41R. BortuzzoD000010.05220—18:57
27A. PietrangeloD000+150.25210—18:52
70O. SundqvistC101+110.124103618:42
90R. O'ReillyC011+120.180205017:52
29V. DunnD202+140.27012—17:20
17J. SchwartzL011+100.04200—16:12
10B. SchennC000+130.30010016:01
21T. BozakC011+200.010026215:54
42M. Del ZottoD000010.10300—15:27
20A. SteenL000+100.00110—15:02
57D. PerronL011+110.18102—14:58
49I. BarbashevL000-110.042023313:06
18R. ThomasC022+200.000005012:41
7P. MaroonL112+220.24300—12:37
12Z. SanfordL011-110.04200—11:53
62M. MacEachernL000-110.01100—08:16
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)41401.9762.88+1.8860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).