Predators at Kings 3-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Nashville Predators

▸3

Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-TN, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 15:32 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 34, LAK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Colton Sissons (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Ellis, 3. Austin Wagner (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Sissons1 G, 1 A
★★
R. Ellis
★★★
A. Wagner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NSH	110	215	09	334
LAK	08	19	09	126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

V. Arvidsson(29)
R. Johansen (46)
slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
1-0
15:04

2nd period

A. Wagner(10)
T. Lewis (6), M. Roy (1)
tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
1-1
2:54
C. Smith(19)
C. Sissons (15), C. Jarnkrok (15)
wristxG 0.19win prob +22 pts
2-1
15:32
C. Sissons(12)
Unassisted
slapxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
3-1
17:59

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

4:42Dion Phaneuf · Trippingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
13:00Ryan Ellis · High stickingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
15:21Wayne Simmonds · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: LAK

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 2nd 15:32 — NSH 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att LAK

1 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.23 G
All situations: 1 G2.1; 3.03 G
Even strength: 1 G1.7; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.3; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

68%32%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

34
Shots on goal: 26; 58%
Faceoffs: 42%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 15
Hits: 21; 19
Blocked shots: 11; 7
Giveaways: 8; 3
Takeaways: 2

Box score

every player line

Nashville Predators skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
76P. SubbanD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	1	3	0	—	25:41
14M. EkholmD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	0	4	0	—	24:00
4R. EllisD	0	0	0	+3	0	0.03	1	1	2	—	22:13
59R. JosiD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	2	5	0	—	22:02
92R. JohansenC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	50	20:11
33V. ArvidssonL	1	0	1	+1	4	0.46	0	0	0	—	19:06
9F. ForsbergL	0	0	0	0	4	0.47	0	0	0	—	17:37
13N. BoninoC	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	79	16:32
17W. SimmondsR	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	1	2	—	15:36
64M. GranlundC	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	1	0	0	15:21
19C. JarnkrokC	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	0	15:15
10C. SissonsC	1	1	2	+2	4	0.52	2	0	0	36	13:23
15C. SmithC	1	0	1	+2	3	0.22	1	0	0	0	13:12
7Y. WeberD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	—	12:49
11B. BoyleC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	1	2	0	75	11:32
52M. IrwinD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	2	1	0	—	11:28
23R. GrimaldiR	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	1	0	0	—	10:04
89F. GaudreauC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	0	0	67	09:58

Nashville Predators goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35P. Rinne(W)	26	25	1	.962	2.15	+1.15	60:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Nov 173@5Final
Feb 211@2Final
Mar 143@1this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings

1st period

2nd period

1st

Box score