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Penguins at Sabres
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
0
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Dumoulin's goal at 15:07 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were PIT 28, BUF 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Carter Hutton stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0938211528
BUFBUF0701207026

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Kessel(24)PPG
    S. Crosby (58), J. Guentzel (32)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    6:40
  2. PIT
    B. Dumoulin(3)
    E. Malkin (50), T. Blueger (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    15:07
  3. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(17)PPG
    P. Kessel (48), S. Crosby (59)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    17:08

3rd period

  1. PIT
    N. Bjugstad(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    10:07
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(36)PPG
    Z. Trotman (1), N. Bjugstad (11)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    5-0
    18:02

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·BUF 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:47PITMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

2nd

  • 4:55BUFCasey Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:45PITTeddy Blueger · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 16:25BUFMarco Scandella · Hookingdrawn by Matt Cullen2 min

3rd

  • 11:57BUFJohan Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 11:57PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 13:41BUFJeff Skinner · Hookingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 16:37BUFRasmus Dahlin · Slashingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPIT goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Brian Dumoulin, 2nd 15:07 — PIT 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.15C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.06K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 1.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBUF
2.25 G
All situations
0 G1.5
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.63 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT65%35%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 1.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBUF
28
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
3/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD000000.03122—23:35
87S. CrosbyC022010.140005922:21
44E. GudbransonD000010.01220—21:07
4J. SchultzD000+130.22000—20:23
59J. GuentzelC112020.12000019:54
73J. JohnsonD000+110.08110—19:35
8B. DumoulinD101+110.04230—18:01
81P. KesselR112+130.39000—17:39
19J. McCannL000040.2102010017:20
71E. MalkinC011+130.131124016:43
5Z. TrotmanD011+110.01220—14:47
27N. BjugstadC112+120.261107514:22
53T. BluegerC011+110.11212014:09
72P. HornqvistR101+120.20100—14:09
12D. SimonC000+110.04000012:07
7M. CullenC000000.060005610:44
10G. WilsonL000020.1710010009:41
36J. BlandisiC000000.00000007:31
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)262601.0001.52+1.5259:52

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).